竜巻被害長さ方向の風速変化を考慮した竜巻ハザード評価法


英字タイトル:
Tornado hazard model with the variation effects of tornado intensity along the path length
著者:
平口 博丸 Hiromaru HIRAKUCHI 野原 大輔 Daisuke NOHARA 杉本 聡一郎 Soichiro SUGIMOTO 江口 譲 Yuzuru EGUCHI 服部 康男 Yasuo HATTORI
発刊日:
公開日:
カテゴリ: 第12回
キーワードタグ:

概要

Abstract: Most of Japanese tornados have been reported near the coast line, where all of Japanese nuclear power plants are located. It is necessary for Japanese electric power companies to assess tornado risks on the plants according to a new regulation in 2013. The new regulatory guide exemplifies a tornado hazard model, which cannot consider the variation of tornado intensity along the path length and consequently produces conservative risk estimates. The guide also recommends the long narrow strip area along the coast line with the width of 5-10km as a region of interest, although the model tends to estimate inadequate wind speeds due to the limit of application. The purpose of this study is to propose a new tornado hazard model which can be apply to the long narrow strip area. The new model can also consider the variation of tornado intensity along the path length and across the path width.


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